France vs Senegal 3-1 World Cup 2026 recap
Pool I at New York/New Jersey Stadium, New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford). Kickoff is listed as 2026-06-17 03:00 Beijing time and 2026-06-16 15:00 venue local time.
Status
Finished 3-1. This page is generated from the current data worker package updated at 2026-06-18T04:00:54.466Z.
Game intelligence brief
Both teams are profiled here with the confirmed result, scorer timeline when open references provide it, and the same strength model used before kickoff. The model score gap was 13 points, with the stronger preview profile ahead by that margin.
Result recap
Home won 3-1. The public event feed lists 4 scoring actions, starting with I. Mbaye 90+ at 5'. The recap keeps the final score beside the strength profile so readers can compare what happened with the preview model, rather than treating the scoreline as an isolated result.
Agent read and confidence notes
France are the model lean at 48.5%, but Senegal stay live through draw lane remains material.
| Confidence score | 64 |
|---|---|
| Late-news sensitivity | medium |
| Source-backed late signals | 0 |
| Squad completeness | 100% |
| Calibration use | rolling finished-match audit |
Top decision drivers
- Team qualityhome · contribution 1.3 · ratings+squad+rank
- Venue adaptationaway · contribution -0.6 · venue climate profile
- Chance creation vs defensehome · contribution 0.3 · ratings.attack/execution vs opponent defense/control
- Travel and restEven · contribution 0 · confederation travel proxy + rest days
Watch points
- humid summer open-air conditions can raise fatigue variance.
- If the first half stays level, draw probability is structurally high.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
- Largest swing factors: Team quality, Chance creation vs defense, Venue adaptation.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
Scenario notes
- High heat or humidity can lower pressing efficiency and raise late-game variance.
- Close team profiles keep the draw channel structurally important.
No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Scoring timeline
- 5' - I. Mbaye 90+ · away · Goal
- 6' - K. Mbappé 90+ · home · Goal
- 66' - K. Mbappé · home · Goal
- 82' - B. Barcola · home · Goal
Side-by-side rating
| Signal | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Team page | France | Senegal |
| Power score | 88 | 75 |
| FIFA rank | 3 | 15 |
| Attack | 87 | 79 |
| Control | 83 | 83 |
| Defense | 88 | 80 |
| Depth | 92 | 86 |
| Form | 90 | 38 |
| Execution | 90 | 82 |
Tactical keys
- Team quality: France. Radar, ranking, key-player impact and squad experience.
- Chance creation vs defense: France. Compares attack, execution, control and key-player impact against opponent defense, control, depth and current form.
- Venue adaptation: Senegal. humid summer, altitude 2m, open-air conditions.
- Travel and rest: even. Travel load, rest days and rotation depth before kickoff.
- Style matchup: even. Open-air venue keeps fatigue, weather, and game-state volatility in the model.
- Late team news: even. No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Key players to watch
- Mbappe Kylian - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 98, goals 56.
- Dembele Ousmane - Forward. Impact 90. Caps 59, goals 7.
- Rabiot Adrien - Midfielder. Impact 89. Caps 59, goals 7.
- Gueye Idrissa Gana - Midfielder. Impact 96. Caps 136, goals 7.
- Mane Sadio - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 130, goals 54.
- Sarr Ismaila - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 84, goals 19.
Related coverage
- Iraq vs NorwayFinished 1-4 · 06-17, 06:00
- France vs IraqScheduled · 06-23, 05:00
- Norway vs SenegalScheduled · 06-23, 08:00
- Senegal vs IraqScheduled · 06-27, 03:00
- Norway vs FranceScheduled · 06-27, 03:00
- All match analysis pagesBrowse every fixture preview and recap.
- Tournament structureGroups, standings, third-place race, and knockout path.
Data notes
Score and event rows come from the current open-reference package. If a reference later revises a scorer or minute, the dynamic page updates from the live worker first. Read the source notes, editorial policy, and site discovery hub for the full page map.