Ivory Coast vs Ecuador 1-0 World Cup 2026 recap
Pool E at Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia. Kickoff is listed as 2026-06-15 07:00 Beijing time and 2026-06-14 19:00 venue local time.
Status
Finished 1-0. This page is generated from the live-agent+verified-static package updated at 2026-06-18T04:00:54.466Z.
Game intelligence brief
Both teams are profiled here with the confirmed result, scorer timeline when open references provide it, and the same strength model used before kickoff. The model score gap was 5 points, with the stronger preview profile ahead by that margin.
Result recap
Home won 1-0. The public event feed lists 1 scoring action, starting with A. Diallo at 90'. The recap keeps the final score beside the strength profile so readers can compare what happened with the preview model, rather than treating the scoreline as an isolated result.
Agent read and confidence notes
Ivory Coast are the model lean at 41.7%, but Ecuador stay live through high-variance fixture.
| Confidence score | 58 |
|---|---|
| Late-news sensitivity | high |
| Source-backed late signals | 0 |
| Squad completeness | 100% |
| Calibration use | rolling finished-match audit |
Top decision drivers
- Team qualityhome · contribution 0.6 · ratings+squad+rank
- Travel and restaway · contribution -0.1 · confederation travel proxy + rest days
- Chance creation vs defenseEven · contribution 0 · ratings.attack/execution vs opponent defense/control
- Venue adaptationEven · contribution 0 · venue climate profile
Watch points
- humid summer open-air conditions can raise fatigue variance.
- If the first half stays level, draw probability is structurally high.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
- Largest swing factors: Team quality.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
Scenario notes
- High heat or humidity can lower pressing efficiency and raise late-game variance.
- Close team profiles keep the draw channel structurally important.
- Model volatility is elevated; late lineup news should move the read more than usual.
- No source-backed late team news is active yet; lineup confirmation remains a key watch item.
No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Scoring timeline
- 90' - A. Diallo · home · Goal
Side-by-side rating
| Signal | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Team page | Ivory Coast | Ecuador |
| Power score | 71 | 66 |
| FIFA rank | 33 | 23 |
| Attack | 58 | 65 |
| Control | 71 | 64 |
| Defense | 65 | 72 |
| Depth | 77 | 81 |
| Form | 84 | 42 |
| Execution | 73 | 71 |
Tactical keys
- Team quality: Ivory Coast. Radar, ranking, key-player impact and squad experience.
- Chance creation vs defense: even. Compares attack, execution, control and key-player impact against opponent defense, control, depth and current form.
- Venue adaptation: even. humid summer, altitude 12m, open-air conditions.
- Travel and rest: Ecuador. Travel load, rest days and rotation depth before kickoff.
- Style matchup: even. Open-air venue keeps fatigue, weather, and game-state volatility in the model.
- Late team news: even. No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Key players to watch
- Kessie Franck - Midfielder. Impact 96. Caps 104, goals 15.
- Pepe Nicolas - Forward. Impact 95. Caps 56, goals 12.
- Sangare Ibrahim - Midfielder. Impact 93. Caps 55, goals 11.
- Valencia Enner - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 105, goals 49.
- Caicedo Moises - Midfielder. Impact 85. Caps 61, goals 3.
- Estupinan Pervis - Defender. Impact 84. Caps 54, goals 5.
Related coverage
- Germany vs CuraçaoFinished 7-1 · 06-15, 01:00
- Germany vs Ivory CoastScheduled · 06-21, 04:00
- Ecuador vs CuraçaoScheduled · 06-21, 08:00
- Curaçao vs Ivory CoastScheduled · 06-26, 04:00
- Ecuador vs GermanyScheduled · 06-26, 04:00
- All match analysis pagesBrowse every fixture preview and recap.
- Tournament structureGroups, standings, third-place race, and knockout path.
Data notes
Score and event rows come from the current open-reference package. If a reference later revises a scorer or minute, the dynamic page updates from the live worker first. Read the source notes, editorial policy, and site discovery hub for the full page map.