United States vs Paraguay 4-1 World Cup 2026 recap
Pool D at Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles (Inglewood). Kickoff is listed as 2026-06-13 09:00 Beijing time and 2026-06-12 18:00 venue local time.
Status
Finished 4-1. This page is generated from the live-agent+verified-static package updated at 2026-06-18T04:00:54.466Z.
Game intelligence brief
Both teams are profiled here with the confirmed result, scorer timeline when open references provide it, and the same strength model used before kickoff. The model score gap was 28 points, with the stronger preview profile ahead by that margin.
Result recap
Home won 4-1. The public event feed lists 5 scoring actions, starting with D. Bobadilla at 7'. The recap keeps the final score beside the strength profile so readers can compare what happened with the preview model, rather than treating the scoreline as an isolated result.
Agent read and confidence notes
United States are the model lean at 74.2%, but Paraguay stay live through venue adaptation can move the match.
| Confidence score | 88 |
|---|---|
| Late-news sensitivity | low |
| Source-backed late signals | 0 |
| Squad completeness | 100% |
| Calibration use | rolling finished-match audit |
Top decision drivers
- Team qualityhome · contribution 2.8 · ratings+squad+rank
- Chance creation vs defensehome · contribution 1 · ratings.attack/execution vs opponent defense/control
- Venue adaptationhome · contribution 0.2 · venue climate profile
- Travel and resthome · contribution 0.1 · confederation travel proxy + rest days
Watch points
- Controlled venue should lower weather volatility.
- Early scoring would validate the favorite lane faster.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
- Largest swing factors: Team quality, Chance creation vs defense, Venue adaptation.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
Scenario notes
- Roof or controlled conditions reduce weather noise and favor cleaner execution.
No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Scoring timeline
- 7' - D. Bobadilla · home · Own goal
- 31' - F. Balogun · home · Goal
- 45+5' - F. Balogun · home · Goal
- 73' - Maurício · away · Goal
- 90+8' - G. Reyna · home · Goal
Side-by-side rating
| Signal | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Team page | United States | Paraguay |
| Power score | 85 | 57 |
| FIFA rank | 17 | 41 |
| Attack | 82 | 44 |
| Control | 78 | 59 |
| Defense | 83 | 63 |
| Depth | 86 | 75 |
| Form | 95 | 38 |
| Execution | 85 | 63 |
Tactical keys
- Team quality: United States. Radar, ranking, key-player impact and squad experience.
- Chance creation vs defense: United States. Compares attack, execution, control and key-player impact against opponent defense, control, depth and current form.
- Venue adaptation: United States. mild dry, altitude 38m, roof/controlled conditions.
- Travel and rest: United States. Travel load, rest days and rotation depth before kickoff.
- Style matchup: United States. Controlled venue reduces weather variance and rewards cleaner possession.
- Late team news: even. No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Key players to watch
- Mckennie Weston - Midfielder. Impact 96. Caps 66, goals 12.
- Pulisic Christian - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 86, goals 33.
- Aaronson Brenden - Forward. Impact 92. Caps 58, goals 9.
- Almiron Miguel - Midfielder. Impact 89. Caps 76, goals 10.
- Sanabria Antonio - Forward. Impact 88. Caps 48, goals 7.
- Gomez Gustavo - Defender. Impact 83. Caps 89, goals 4.
Related coverage
- Australia vs TurkeyFinished 2-0 · 06-14, 12:00
- United States vs AustraliaScheduled · 06-20, 03:00
- Turkey vs ParaguayScheduled · 06-20, 11:00
- Paraguay vs AustraliaScheduled · 06-26, 10:00
- Turkey vs United StatesScheduled · 06-26, 10:00
- All match analysis pagesBrowse every fixture preview and recap.
- Tournament structureGroups, standings, third-place race, and knockout path.
Data notes
Score and event rows come from the current open-reference package. If a reference later revises a scorer or minute, the dynamic page updates from the live worker first. Read the source notes, editorial policy, and site discovery hub for the full page map.